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By Jim Muir
BBC correspondent in Tehran
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A series of violent night-time disturbances in the
Iranian capital Tehran and in other cities over the past 10 days
appears to have largely died away, but has left a tense political
fallout.
Student protests have now spread to other parts of the population
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The nocturnal clashes, initially focused on Tehran University, spread to the streets and led to hundreds of arrests.
Many pro-reform protesters were injured in attacks by right-wing vigilantes.
Incidents have continued nightly in the suburb of Tehran Pars, on the eastern edge of the capital.
Witnesses said several protesters were badly hurt there
on Friday night, including one woman who received near-fatal stab
wounds while several other women were clubbed around the head.
Those responsible are believed to be basijis and
hezbollahis, right-wing Islamic irregulars, often teenagers, who roam
around trouble-spots on motorcycles armed with clubs, chains, and
knives, apparently acting with impunity.
The activities of these vigilantes was denounced in a
statement signed by 166 reformist deputies (a majority of the
290-member parliament) which was read out on Tehran radio on Sunday.
The statement blamed these "violent and ruthless
plain-clothes rogue elements" as the main factor provoking the
disturbances. It called for them to be put on trial and punished.
The parliamentary statement also condemned what it
called "efforts by known circles to exploit the current situation" to
discredit the reformist student movement and other political groups by
linking them to the unrest.
Stifling dissent
Scores of student activists and some liberal political
figures are reported to have been arrested in recent days in Tehran and
around the country.
The detentions took place on direct orders from the
hard-line judiciary, bypassing normal procedures, with plain-clothes
court agents apparently being given a blank cheque to arrest anybody
they deemed "suspicious".
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Students in Tehran talk about their protest

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It is widely seen as an attempt to stifle dissent in
advance of 9 July, the fourth anniversary of serious riots which broke
out in Tehran after police and vigilantes attacked a student dormitory.
The anniversary was expected to be a focal point for protests against the regime.
In the 10 days of disturbances in the capital, police chiefs say more than 500 people were arrested.
Almost all of them were aged between 17 and 25, but only
10 of them were students, according to Brigadier Mahmood Japloghi,
police commander of Tehran province.
Many other people were reported detained after similar disturbances in other cities in different parts of the country.
Widespread dismay
The fact that so few students were reported among those
arrested during the clashes indicated that the dissent was by no means
confined to the campuses where the trouble began.
Many of those taking part in the protests, which later
took the form of horn-sounding in traffic jams, were ordinary people,
often families, who wanted to register their dismay that so little of
the change they have been voting for since 1997 has been brought about.
But the unrest has also been openly incited by TV and
radio stations and websites run largely from the US by Iranian exiles
bitterly opposed to the Islamic regime.
The stations broadcast their message in Farsi directly into Iran, and are widely followed.
Police have tried to regain control of Tehran's streets
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This, and encouragement for the protesters voiced by
American officials from President Bush down, has allowed the regime's
hard-liners to dismiss the demonstrators as hooligans and traitors
dancing to Washington's tune.
The extreme hard-line former head of the judiciary,
Ayatollah Mohammad Yazdi, called on the courts to treat those arrested
as moharebs, people making war on God - a charge carrying an automatic
death penalty.
The Public Prosecutor, Ayatollah Abd an-Nabi Namazi,
said that "those who spread insecurity in society" would be handled
"with repressive force".
The scale of the crackdown and the wave of arrests gave
rise to a widely circulated conspiracy theory suggesting that regime
loyalists fomented the unrest in order to justify taking steps to
defuse possible trouble in advance of the 9 July anniversary.
Unorganised opposition
Few analysts believe that at current levels the unrest amounts to a serious threat to the regime.
The authorities deployed only a fraction of their
potential defence mechanisms against demonstrations which never
involved more than a few thousand people.
Islamic vigilantes may be responsible for some of the violence
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While disaffection is undoubtedly widespread because of
the failure of massively elected reformists to make much difference,
opposition is vague and unorganised.
There is no political vehicle or unifying ideology to channel dissent.
Since the 1999 riots - which, like the recent
disturbances, spilled from the campuses onto the streets - the main
student organisation has been split and many of its more militant
leaders arrested or otherwise curbed.
Liberal but peaceful opposition groups outside the
Islamic system, such as the Freedom Movement of Iran and related
"religious nationalist" elements, have been severely pressured.
Peaceful change
The regime's hard-core outright opponents are based abroad because they would be ruthlessly suppressed inside the country.
The most vocal of these, the People's Mujahideen or
Mujahidin-e-Khalq, is an effective propaganda voice abroad and used to
mount pinprick military operations from Iraq.
But it has negligible support among Iranians inside the
country because it allied itself with Saddam Hussein's Baghdad and is
seen by many as ideologically less desirable even than the current
Islamic system.
Royalists, grouped behind Reza Pahlavi, the son of the
late deposed shah, also enjoy little support among the bulk of the
people, to whom the monarchy appears an irrelevance.
Having experienced a turbulent revolution and eight
years of war (with neighbouring Iraq) in the past 25 years, few
Iranians advocate violent anti-regime upheavals because they know that
would take their dreams of a better life even further beyond their
grasp.
Hence the massive vote they gave to the idea of gradual, peaceful change from within the system.
First steps
But President Mohammad Khatami and the reformist MPs who
now dominate parliament have been unable to break the grip on real
power of the entrenched hard-line minority, leading to widespread
public disillusion.
President Khatami is fighting an uphill battle to reform Iran
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The resulting frustration has undoubtedly created a tense and unpredictable situation.
But peaceful dissent would have to be on a much more
massive scale, involving millions rather than thousands, if it were to
have a serious impact on the regime.
The latest unrest may not have gone completely without impact, however.
The violent behaviour of the Islamic vigilantes has
increased pressure within the regime to bring the imposition of law and
order more strictly under the control of official law enforcement
forces, and some first steps have been taken in that direction.
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